Stress Testing, Part 2: Data, the River
A common theme throughout contemporary financial stress testing is “data, the risky river,” said David O’Connell, Senior Analyst, Aite Group, a financial services consulting group. He was the second of two speakers to address issues around data in stress testing in a webinar organized by GARP on January 28, 2014. The recent financial crisis has permanently altered the relationship between the central bank and all other financial institutions, said O’Connell. The central bank is now looking at them as potential customers for a line of credit, and thus must carry out due diligence including asking for proof that the financial […]
Stress Testing, Part 1: The Data Mountain
Demands by regulators for increased frequency of reporting and more granularity of data in financial stress testing “are creating a data mountain,” said Jon Asprey, VP Strategic Consulting, Trillium Software. He was the first of two speakers to address the issue of data in stress testing in a webinar organized by the Global Association of Risk Professionals on January 28, 2014. He contrasted the new demands with early (pre-financial crisis) days of Basel reporting, when the summary level was sufficient. The data mountain has a significant impact on financial institutions, creating “the month-end panic,” Asprey said, since reporting at most […]
Monetary Policy and Treasury Risk Premia: Part 2
After giving an overview (see Part 1), Paul Whelan, of the Imperial College London and formerly the European Central Bank, walked the audience through the mechanics of an award-winning paper on monetary policy at a webinar on January 16, 2014 sponsored by GARP. A shock, by its very nature, is non-routine. Therefore, “a good measure of monetary policy shocks should exclude systematic components,” Whelan said. Another challenge was to “distinguish between quantity of risk versus price of risk channels.” Use of the Taylor rule allowed the researchers to isolate the exogenous dynamics of monetary policy. The trio was able to […]
Monetary Policy and Treasury Risk Premia: Part 1
“Monetary policy makers want to control the long end of the yield curve,” said Paul Whelan at a webinar on January 16, 2014 sponsored by the Global Association of Risk Professionals. Whelan co-authored an article that won the 2013 GARP Award for best paper in financial risk management. “Monetary Policy and Treasury Risk Premia”, by Andrea Buraschi, Andrea Carnelli, and Paul Whelan, provides a quantitative analysis of the effect of monetary policy shocks on future bond returns. Buraschi is at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and Imperial College London; Carnelli is at Imperial College London; and Paul […]