Heat Lowers the GDP
Every season, but particularly summer, reminds us that global warming is occurring at an alarming rate. The average global temperature will continue to rise over time if people do not take substantial action to reduce greenhouse gases, especially carbon emissions. What effect will soaring temperatures have on economic productivity? How will warming effects be distributed over the globe? Will these have a long-lasting effect on the GDP? Recent research by economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRBSF) delves into these questions. “Our findings show that total global losses in output per person could be substantial,” say the […]
The Meerkat Way
Given that climate change is the biggest economic upheaval of our age, what can risk professionals do? What, exactly, is meant by a “net-zero transition,” and why does each organization need a transition plan to reach it? How should risk professionals get started? On May 23, 2023, the membership of the Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) was invited to a one-hour webinar titled “Net-Zero Transition Plans” that promised to answer these questions and more. Tony Rooke, Executive Director and Head of Transition Finance at the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ), delivered the webinar. GFANZ is a global […]
Carbon Pricing
What is the best way to address climate change? If too much carbon is released in the air, how can emissions be reduced? By regulating corporations or by imposing costs on consumers in the form of a carbon tax? Moreover, even if a solution is found, not all nations, and not all people within nations, will agree on how to tackle the problem. In the words of Professor Barry Rabe, author of Can We Price Carbon? “Compelling ideas from economics do not necessarily suspend the laws of politics.” On May 4, 2023, Jessica Green, professor of political science at University […]
Heated Exchange
Climate-related natural disasters are increasing in frequency and severity and costs. Since climate change is not equal across countries, how does a country’s exchange rate respond to such shocks? Furthermore, is it possible to build an economic model to predict future changes? On April 6, 2023, Galina Hale, professor of economics at the University of California at Santa Cruz, delivered a webinar about the effect of climate change on exchange rates. This was part of the series of talks sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRBSF), titled the Virtual Seminar on Climate Economics. She reported results from […]
Green Stocks vs. Brown
Comparing the stock prices of climate-friendly (“green”) companies versus non-climate-friendly (“brown”) companies, which type will give better performance? Has this prediction been changing over the past decade—and why? And what are the recent pressures? On March 23, 2023, Michael Bauer, professor of economics at the University of Hamburg, delivered a webinar on green vs. brown stocks as part of the series of talks sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRBSF), titled the Virtual Seminar on Climate Economics. He reported results from a recent paper co-authored with three other economists appearing in the Journal of Climate Finance. Bauer […]
The Forest Awakens
The Amazon rainforest is an iconic world ecosystem often referred to as “the lungs of the planet.” Yet it is being destroyed day by day. What systems are in place to monitor loss of valuable ecosystems? How effective are these systems? In 2019, the United Nations announced the “UN Decade on Ecosystem Restoration.” This international body estimates that restoration of 350 million hectares of degraded land between now and 2030 could generate USD 9 trillion in ecosystem services and take an additional 13-26 gigatons of greenhouse gases out of the atmosphere, gases that are warming the planet. On March 9, […]
Chemistry and the Economy
Risks are multiplying and becoming more complex. The chemical industry is intrinsically connected to the economy. Can chemistry help solve the biggest crises facing us today? On December 15, 2022, the American Chemical Society hosted a virtual webinar, “Chemistry and the Economy.” The moderator was Bill Carroll, principal of Carroll Applied Science, who spoke to Paul Hodges, chairman of the Swiss-based strategy consulting firm New Normal. In speaking about risks, Hodges does not beat around the bush. He began with what he called “the four horsemen of the apocalypse.” He stated, “First there was the pandemic and associated supply chain […]
Climate Risk in Africa
Are European governments turning to African energy producers? What is the effect of Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine on other parts of the world? Will this threaten Africa’s transition to renewable energy? Is there any way to put the brakes on climate risk? On December 12, 2022, the Climate Action Tracker group held a virtual event, where three experts on climate risk discussed how to accelerate the transition to renewable energy and enhance climate action in Africa, with a focus on climate governance. Fossil gas is not the answer To meet the 1.5°C target of the Paris Agreement, “the global […]
E-Growth in Emerging Markets
What is happening in emerging markets? Are there areas where an informed investor can make a profit? What are the pitfalls to avoid? On November 22, 2022, the CFA Society of Toronto hosted a virtual webinar, “Rethinking Emerging Markets: The Case for Growth & How to Capture It.” The speaker was Kevin T. Carter, the founder and Chief Investment Officer of EMQQ Global. Carter began by providing his background. “I pray toward Omaha,” he quipped, because he considers himself an active “value” investor first and foremost, along the lines of “the oracle of Omaha,” Warren Buffett. Carter has collaborated with […]
Steering the Ship
“Board involvement is pivotal… It’s so much easier to get climate risk capability embedded,” said Jo Paisley, President of the Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP). “Our survey found the vast majority of boards have oversight of climate-related risks and opportunities.” She was referring to the report titled Third Annual Global Survey of Climate Risk Management at Financial Firms available from the GARP website since September 2021. Paisley and two other panel members were part of the July 12, 2022, webinar to mark the publication of a joint report from GARP and the United Nations Environment Programme Finance Initiative (UNEP FI). […]