She Works, He Works?
How is the U.S. labor force changing over time? The labor force participation rate has generally been in decline since the late 1990s. Aging explains part of the overall change, since this is when baby boomers began to retire, partially offset by advances in health that have improved the longevity of the workforce. Another reason is the rising educational attainment of the workforce, which means fewer total years spent in the workforce. How does the labor force differ by gender? When it comes to things like productivity and choice of occupation, gender differences have been observed. Could there be differences […]
Inflation Fighter
What’s being done to keep the American economy running smoothly? Who’s keeping watch over things like the employment rate and purchasing power? Does anyone care about the average citizen’s standard of living? In other words, who is the sheriff in town? “What is still bothersome is we haven’t achieved price stability,” said Mary C. Daly, the President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRB-SF). She defined price stability as simply: “it’s when people don’t have to worry about inflation.” She identified this as the core mission of the FRB, which “as we all know, has come […]
The Future of Work
Now that the Covid-19 pandemic fears are receding, what is happening to the average workplace—will it become more or less virtual? Will some workers prefer to continue working from home and refuse to commute? As for generative AI—how will that change the future of work? “There will always be work to do, but it will be different from the work we know now,” said Mary C. Daly, President and CEO of the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRBSF), known informally as “the Fed.” She was the introductory speaker on September 8, 2023, at a presentation outlining the Fed’s […]
Ask the Fed
“The Fed is trying to achieve price stability and maximum employment,” said Sylvain Leduc, Executive Vice President and Director of Research of the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRBSF), known informally as “the Fed.” In terms of employment levels, he said, “We are back to where we were pre-pandemic.” He was speaking on February 7, 2023, at a public briefing in which he outlined the FRBSF’s thinking on economic matters. He showed a graph of unemployment, which reached a peak at the start of the pandemic in early 2020. The monthly change in nonfarm payroll employment had a downward […]
The Beveridge Curve
In early 2021, in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, the U.S. saw many workers leave their jobs and seek other employment—leading to record high job vacancies—a phenomenon observed dubbed “the great resignation.” Lately, inflation is rising, markets are cooling, and the great resignation appears to be slowing. The question becomes: How will unemployment rise as growth slows and job vacancies decline? On August 29, 2022, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (FRBSF) released an Economic Letter titled “Finding a Soft Landing along the Beveridge Curve” that explores the current relationship between unemployment and economic growth. The paper was […]