Adapting Agricultural Trade
Climate change affects, and will continue to affect, agricultural productivity around the world. It is one of the inescapable ironies of our times that sub-Saharan Africa will be severely affected by climate change, despite how little it has contributed to global carbon emissions. How severe will these effects be? And is there any way to mitigate the effect on the most susceptible nations, besides curbing emissions, which appears to be a losing strategy? “Agriculture is a vulnerable sector because it is fed by rain and it is near the limits of thermal tolerance to begin with,” said Obie Porteous, Associate […]
Plugging into Progress
Many countries signed on to the 2016 Paris Agreement, but nine years later, how many are actively working toward decarbonization? Watchdog organizations are evaluating the progress made year over year and will encourage the 195 or so signing parties to keep the commitments they made. One such organization is the independent scientific project Climate Action Tracker (CAT), whose main graphic summarizes the goals. On May 21, 2025, the Climate Action Tracker group presented a webinar, “Plugging Into Progress: Evaluating Power Sector Decarbonization,” in which four experts on climate risk discussed the progress, or lack thereof. Louise Jeffrey began the session. […]
Nature Risk… Climate Risk
Nature risk, or the loss of natural assets, affects humans in a wide range of ways, but it is poorly understood, and its economic impact is not adequately measured. Yet it is gaining prominence during a time of concern about climate risk. The natural world helps mitigate climate change because it provides many natural sinks that absorb carbon dioxide, such as mangrove swamps. “Nature is critical for us to get to net zero,” said Jo Paisley, president of GARP Risk Institute, referring to a fundamental goal of the 2016 Paris Agreement. “And climate change is one of the drivers of […]
Global Energy Transition
What’s changing in relation to global energy supply and production? What are the latest trends in demand? And what do the changes mean for investment opportunity and risk? These and other questions were addressed by David von Eiff, Director, Global Industry Standards at CFA Institute during a webinar on April 22, 2025, titled “Global Energy Transition: Investment Opportunity and Risks.” Since the day marked the 55th anniversary of Earth Day celebrations, he began with a review of the goals of the zero emissions agreement. “There are health benefits to renewable energy and economic benefits.” “In the U.S., renewables-based electrical generation […]
A Defining Moment
Investing in emerging markets amid today’s complex global landscape presents both opportunities and risks. Can investors identify markets with a strong potential for risk-adjusted returns? Can they avoid the worst of the pitfalls? In a webinar on March 19, 2025, three experts in the field presented a round-table discussion titled “Capital Flows, Tariffs & Trade: A Defining Moment for Emerging Markets Investors.” They touched on issues as wide-ranging as exchange rates, geopolitical risk, and trade barriers that will be discussed more fully at the upcoming conference, CFA Institute LIVE 2025 to be held in Chicago, 4-7 May, 2025. The panel […]
Resilience and Development
For developing countries, how will climate change affect the progress of their economic development? Will these countries be able to use available opportunities through institutions such as the World Bank to adapt to changing conditions and improve people’s lives? “Development and resilience are mutually reinforcing,” said Stéphane Hallegatte, Senior Climate Change Adviser at the World Bank. “Development contributes to resilience, and resilience is crucial for safeguarding gains from increasingly frequent crises.” He was speaking at a webinar on September 5, 2024, on economic development in a changing climate. This was part of the series of talks sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank […]
State of Wildfires
The potential for burning grows every month under climate change, as drought conditions increase in frequency and intensity. The dangers change unevenly, country by country and region by region. Ultimately, the operational risk of wildfires adds to country risk. But how bad is the current situation? Has anyone tried to benchmark, or systematically quantify, the events and the damages? An effort to benchmark the state of destruction has begun in a climate centre in England, the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of East Anglia in Britain. The findings of an expert panel were released in the inaugural report, “State of Wildfires 2023–2024,” […]
Geopolitical Risks
Many conflicts and potential conflicts disturb various parts of the world in the post-pandemic era. For those who must manage various sources of risk in a portfolio, what are the biggest threats on the horizon? Is there a common thread among several sources of conflict? The Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) provides a series of podcasts featuring specialists discussing their area of risk and we at TextMedic enjoy listening in. This is the first podcast we have summarized in our blog, and for starters we delve into country risk. On April 14, 2024, Daniel Wagner, CEO of Country Risk […]
World Energy Outlook
On October 24, 2023, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released its annual report, World Energy Outlook (WEO), to an international audience. The agency states that the energy world “remains fragile but has effective ways to improve energy security and tackle emissions.” Agency analysts looked at how close the countries of the world are to meeting the objectives of the Net Zero Emissions by 2050 (NZE) Scenario, which limits global warming to 1.5 °C, a goal signed by many countries and often referred to as the Paris Agreement. [As of March 2021, 194 states and the European Union have signed the […]
Managing Water Risk
Flooding, drought, and the polluted quality of water pose a business risk to the agricultural sector, which affects everything from geopolitical risk to inflation. What is the cause of water risk, and how can it be mitigated? On October 3, 2023, Catherine David, Director of Collaboration and Change at Waste and Resources Action Programme (WRAP) and a specialist in water risk, spoke about water management designed for sustainability. The webinar was sponsored by the Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) and was moderated by Jo Paisley, President, GARP Risk Institute. “According to the FAO,” David said, “by 2030, global demand for […]