models

Towards A Just Policy

The global average temperature is on track to increase over 2026. A single glance at who can afford to own and run air conditioning shows how unevenly climate change affects the poorest households. Is it possible to address the inequality through good design of climate change policy? “For a given global emissions reduction goal, the most efficient policy may not be the most equitable,” said Stéphane Zuber, Director of Research at CNRS, Paris School of Economics. He was presenting a webinar on April 16, 2026, as part of the Virtual Seminar on Climate Economics (VSCE), a series organized by the […]

The Right to Pollute?

Who owns the environment? Who has the right to pollute the environment? Climate policy is essentially a negotiation over who owns the environment and the allocation of economic, technological, and developmental costs and benefits among nations. Yet, how should we determine the fairness of this distribution? The economic analysis of climate change is a broad and growing area. “A central debate in international climate policy is the distributional consideration,” said Simon Lang, a postdoctoral researcher in the Sustainability Economics Group at ETH Zurich. He was presenting a webinar on April 2, 2026, as part of the Virtual Seminar on Climate […]

Weathering Poverty

The first and most prominent of the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals is “to end poverty in all its forms, everywhere, and leave no one behind.” Instead, reports shows that climate risk disproportionately affects poor countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa and Asia, which are projected to experience many more heat-related deaths as the average global temperature climbs. Yet the developed world becomes further enmeshed in geopolitical conflicts and ignores what is happening to the environment. “Climate risk is rising, with the world becoming hotter and weather shocks such as flood and drought increasing in number and severity,” said Clare Balboni, […]

Designing Climate Policy

Environmental protection seems to come and go, depending on the whim of the party that gets voted into office. A citizen might wonder, how is climate policy designed, anyway? Is there a method to the madness? New climate policy is developed through an iterative process that blends scientific data, public consultation, and political negotiation to meet long-term net-zero goals. Effective design usually combines “carrots” (tax credits, rebates, etc.) with “sticks” (carbon pricing, fines, etc.) to accelerate the transition. “Fighting climate change requires implementing ambitious carbon reduction policies,” said Thomas Bourany, postdoctoral research scholar of economics at Columbia University. “The free-rider problem is […]

Heat Shocks & Farm Size

In developing countries, many households, even those where adults work in non-agricultural sectors, depend on small farms for food and income. These farms operate at a lower rate of productivity, unable to benefit from economies of scale. Typically, these households are uninsured against negative income shocks. What happens, then, when weather shocks occur, such as heat waves or drought? Economic researchers recently studied the link between small farms and income shocks in Colombia, a country of 52 million, with one-tenth the land size of the U.S. “We found that temperature shocks increased the number of land sales and mortgages, with […]

Supply Chains & Climate Risk

Supply chain disruptions during the pandemic made average citizens aware of how vulnerable supply chains are, and how severe the knock-on effects can be. Supply chains continue to be exposed to risk in many ways: geopolitics, labour, and weather, to name a few. In this month alone, floods and atmospheric rivers have caused major disruption of supply chains, such as can be seen in the December flooding in British Columbia’s Fraser Valley and Washington state. As companies continue to manage supply chains in the face of climate change, what are the trade-offs between cost minimization and resilience? What are the […]

U.S. Climate Politics

Climate change is recognized as having large effects on health and economic well-being. Peer-reviewed scientific studies show the impact of temperature/weather/pollution on mortality, GDP, health, crime, and civil conflict. Yet, according to a recent working paper series by Burke et al., adaptation to counteract the problem has been muted. “The climate change response has stalled. Are democracies equipped to handle this problem? asked Francesco Trebbi, Professor of Political Economics at the University of California, Berkeley School of Business. “Policies to curb the climate crisis, such as the carbon tax, are often democratically opposed. Are non-democracies like China better able to deal […]

Fostering Clean Growth

To address environmental concerns, many governments impose pollution regulations on companies or firms. A key goal of such regulations is to spur the development of innovative clean technologies. Empirical evidence suggests that such strategies do, in fact, work. But how effective are regional regulations when dealing with multinational corporations in a globalized economy? “Environmental policies are often confined to local jurisdictions, whereas industrial production operates on a global scale. This mismatch poses a challenge for policymakers,” said Wei Xiang, Assistant Professor of Economics at the University of Michigan. “Firms, especially multinationals, can move their pollution-intensive operations to foreign jurisdictions. This […]

Credible Scenarios

What are the best practices for environmental and climate risk management in the financial sector? Are the standard input scenarios actually suitable for financial modeling? Economic scenarios are an essential tool in assessing the financial risks of the ever-changing world. Given that the average global temperature is increasing, and storms are becoming more severe, year over year, those who construct financial models of risk must set up new, realistic scenarios. Estimating gains and losses on portfolios is difficult because of the deep uncertainty of climate impacts, but modelers must start somewhere. “Using relevant scenarios is crucial,” said Irene Monasterolo, Professor […]

Adapting Agricultural Trade

Climate change affects, and will continue to affect, agricultural productivity around the world. It is one of the inescapable ironies of our times that sub-Saharan Africa will be severely affected by climate change, despite how little it has contributed to global carbon emissions. How severe will these effects be? And is there any way to mitigate the effect on the most susceptible nations, besides curbing emissions, which appears to be a losing strategy? “Agriculture is a vulnerable sector because it is fed by rain and it is near the limits of thermal tolerance to begin with,” said Obie Porteous, Associate […]