Towards Reducing Systemic Risk
Have the risks posed by financial derivatives in the context of the current, still evolving, regulatory landscape been properly addressed? Michael Piracci, Director of PCB Compliance at Barclays, said that nowadays he has “a lot of interactions day-to-day with the clearinghouse” and overall, “it makes me feel a little more comfortable there’s a good system in place.” Piracci was the first of four presenters at a webinar titled Derivatives Regulatory Update held on March 31, 2015, sponsored by the Global Association of Risk Professionals. Piracci began by explaining the role of the Central Counterparty (CCP) and the Futures Commission Merchants […]
Tailoring Risk Model to Investment Strategy
Due to the growing complexity of measuring financial risk, “risk has become a patchwork” of different models, said Phil Jacob, Senior Director at Axioma Risk Research. He was the sole presenter in a webinar about tailoring the right risk model to your investment strategy held on March 4, 2015, and sponsored by the Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP). Jacob identified four inherent challenges. “There are operational issues stemming from existing rigid approaches,” leading to “difficulty in aggregating risk.” There is a lack of consistency in modeling portfolios, which can run the gamut from very simple proxies all the way […]
Alternative Mutual Funds 3
“I can’t stress enough: Boards are now being asked to look at things in great detail,” said Kathleen Moriarty, Partner at Katten Muchin Rosenman LLP. “We spend a lot of time educating the Board,” she said, referring to the Board of Directors of alternative mutual funds. It’s simply that the Board is required to understand the fund at a deeper level than ever before. Moriarty was the third of three speakers at a GARP-sponsored webinar on Alternative Mutual Funds: Risk Governance Under SEC Security on February 17, 2015. She described a recent instance of going over the legislation on mutual […]
Alternative Mutual Funds 2
“SEC’s mission is to protect investors and support responsible capital formation,” said Raymond Slezak, Assistant Regional Director at the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). He was the second of three presenters at the GARP-sponsored webinar held February 17, 2015, on Alternative Mutual Funds: Risk Governance Under SEC Security. Liquid alternative mutual funds were “listed as a priority” as early as 2013, he said, because “any time there’s rapid growth” or “concern about the dynamics of money managers moving into an area,” it attracts SEC interest. As a metaphor about the regulatory thought about the new funds, Slezak repeated a quotation […]
Alternative Mutual Funds 1
Alternative mutual funds have been experiencing a growth “nothing short of phenomenal,” said Amy Poster, Director of Financial Services Advisory at Berdon LLP, “and this has not escaped the notice of the Office of Compliance Inspections and Examinations (OCIE).” She was the first of three speakers in a webinar about alternative mutual funds held on February 17, 2015, and sponsored by the Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP). She pointed to a 2014 Barclays study, Developments and Opportunities for Hedge Fund Managers in the ’40 Act Space , that estimated assets controlled by liquid alternative funds would reach between $USD […]
Stress Testing Mortgages. Part 2
The team of Scott L. Smith, Jesse Weiher, and Debra Fuller at the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) use specialized financial models to estimate potential losses. They carried out empirical tests of countercyclical shocks using four different models of mortgage credit risk. This posting continues a February 4, 2015, presentation by Scott L. Smith to an audience of financial risk managers at Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP). Two models were devised at FHFA, and two are commercially available credit models: one, called Black Knight (formerly LPS-AA), and the other called ADCO Loan Dynamics. The estimated losses were converted to a capital […]
Stress Testing Mortgages. Part 1
“One needs to be careful and not over-reliant on any one model,” said Scott L. Smith, Associate Director for Capital Policy at the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). He was referring to the financial models used by major financial institutions to estimate potential losses. On February 4, 2015, he was presenting a GARP-sponsored webinar on countercyclical stress tests to set capital requirements. Smith explained how credit risk is measured for mortgages, and described a way to embed stress testing that uses countercyclical concepts. He and colleague Jesse Weiher, Senior Economist at FHFA, performed dynamic stress testing that was adjusted to […]
DFAST 2. Challenges of Modeling Credit Risk
There are multiple challenges to private firm commercial & industrial (C&I) risk management, according to Mehna Raissi, Director, Enterprise Risk Solutions at Moody’s Analytics. She was the second of two speakers at a GARP-sponsored webinar on September 9, 2014, to address the Dodd-Frank Act Stress Test (DFAST). Successful risk management depends on three things: the potential for error within standardized processes; ongoing monitoring of counterparty credit risk; and the efficacy of credit risk models. A very big challenge is data quality and availability. “What are the types of variables and factors needed?” Raissi asked. “How can we take into consideration […]
DFAST 1. Modeling Losses and Provisions Over Time
Although Dodd-Frank Act Stress Testing (DFAST) requirements may be the primary motivation for bringing stress testing to the forefront, they should not be the only reason a bank explores the components of loan loss forecasting under a stressed scenario, said Chris Henkel, Senior Director, Enterprise Risk Solutions at Moody’s Analytics. He was the first of two panelists at a webinar held on September 9, 2014, sponsored by the Global Association of Risk Professionals. An accurate forecast of charge-offs is crucial, Henkel said, so that a firm “can estimate what allowances should be and how large the provisions should be,” thereby […]
Counterparty Credit Risk 1. Regulatory Landscape
“Things got out of control very quickly” during the collapse of Lehman Brothers, said Cady North, Senior Finance Analyst for Bloomberg Government, as she compared counterparty credit risk analysis before and after Dodd-Frank legislation was enacted. North was the first of three speakers at a webinar held on May 20, 2014, sponsored by the Global Association of Risk Professionals. The webinar attracted a record number of registrants. Prior to the financial crisis of 2007, “no regulatory reporting was going on for counterparty risk on a regular basis,” North said. There was lack of a common legal entity identifier for Lehman […]